Re: The UK General Election Thread (II)

[Allan D]

Tory majority of 15-20.

[Allan D]

Exit poll seems flawed - Lib Dems must gain seats at expense of Labour:

Cons - 307, Lab 255, Lib Dem 59, Others 29.

That would rule out a Lab/Lib Dem coalition.

[LeFromage]

Exit poll says Cons: 307, Lab: 255, Libs: 59

[JKLever]

Exit poll suggests Libs to lose seats?

[LeFromage]

Exit poll seems flawed - Lib Dems must gain seats at expense of Labour.

I'm sure plenty of people have been bullshitting the exit pollsters. We Brits don't tend to like being asked who we voted for.

[beamer]

'05 was very accurate apparently, though a fair few in the past have been a load of crap. Getting better over the years or just coincidence? We will find out over the next few hours... LD projected total does seem remarkably low given the events of the last few weeks.

[Allan D]

Exit poll suggests Libs to lose seats?

Yes 3 - a bit nonsensical - poll is obviously biased towards Lab/Cons marginals.

[LeFromage]

'05 was very accurate apparently, though a fair few in the past have been a load of crap. Getting better over the years or just coincidence? We will find out over the next few hours... LD projected total does seem remarkably low given the events of the last few weeks.

I predict they'll be miles out. Egg on faces.

The pollsters have been having us on all month.

[Allan D]

'05 was very accurate apparently, though a fair few in the past have been a load of crap. Getting better over the years or just coincidence? We will find out over the next few hours... LD projected total does seem remarkably low given the events of the last few weeks.

1992 was the most inaccurate but I think they have improved since then.

[beamer]

Easy to predict a landslide (1997 and 2001), hard to predict a close result (1992 and... 2010 perhaps)?

[JKLever]

Mandelson & May already squabbling over a hung parliament

[Allan D]

On these figures Brown would be in a similar position to Heath in 1974 since the Lib Dems would not be sufficient to give him a majority. He may stay on till Monday but Nick Clegg, as Jeremy Thorpe did to Heath in 1974, may deliver the coup de grace.

[JKLever]

Labour already sucking up to the LibDems

[LeFromage]

Won't matter. Polls are wrong. Tories reckon they'll claim a small working majority and the Libs will clear 100 seats.

[Zat]

FFS the polls in your country are open for 15 hours, and there are reports that people were turned away because they couldn't process enough voters. Who organises your elections? The BCCI?

[LeFromage]

Labour hold a seat. Confirmed.

[Allan D]

Lab majority cut by 6000 in Sunderland South

8.5% swing from Lab to Con. Lib Dem share of the vote drops slightly although on a higher turnout. Protest votes obviously went to BNP & UKIP rather than Lib Dems.

[Growler]

FFS the polls in your country are open for 15 hours, and there are reports that people were turned away because they couldn't process enough voters. Who organises your elections? The BCCI?

If that's true about people being turned away, it's because they all turned up at the last minute when polls were due to close. With even an hour to go, nobody would ever be turned away because they couldn't be dealt with.

[Zat]

The BBC is reporting it Growls.

Then again, I suppose it would be far more important to watch Coronation St and Eastenders before heading out to vote.

[Allan D]

Voters' fault for turning up at the last minute. I see turnout in Sunderland South was only up 2% at 55% so nobody crushed in the rush there. You can claim a postal vote for any reason or none and you don't have to turn up at a polling station at all. Internet voting is bound to come in (and should have been here already).

[LeFromage]

Safe as houses seat, though. Not surprised there's a bit of apathy about.

[Zat]

Beeb now saying the exit poll has been revised, now suggesting

Con 305
Lab 255
DLP 61
Fascists/Oirish/Welsh/Scots/Monster Raving Loony/etc. 29

[Zat]

Voters' fault for turning up at the last minute.

Indeed, Like I said, for some people it would be far more important to watch Coronation St and Eastenders before heading out to vote.

[Growler]

I'm not doubting your quote or source Zat - just explaining why.

As you rightly say, the polls are open 15 hours, so its no fault of the organisers if people toss it off for 14 3/4 hours.

Jeez - just seen the footage myself ..... its dark. As you said, they all watched the dope operas. They've had all bloody day to vote .......

[LeFromage]

Labour hold Washington.

In your face, America.

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